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With a little more than 250 campaigning days left before
election day, a quick snapshot of the current state of play in the
House and the Senate races is in order. In the House all 435 seats
will be on the ballot, and in the Senate 33 statewide races will be
held. Democrats need to pick up a net total of 25 seats in the
House to claim the majority, and must prevent the Republicans from
picking up 4 seats, and the majority, in the Senate.
Senate Retirement
Kent Conrad
(D)
Joe Lieberman
(I)
Jim Webb
(D)
Jeff Bingaman
(D)
Daniel Akaka
(D)
Herb Kohl
(D)
Ben Nelson
(D)
Key Bailey Hutchinson
(R)
Jon Kyl
(R)
With three retirements over the past month, the 2012 Senate
landscape is quickly taking shape. So far, it's been somewhat
welcome news for Republicans aiming to take back the Senate
majority next year. Democrats must defend 23 seats, 10 of which are
currently considered competitive, while Republicans must defend 10
seats, only 2 of which are currently considered competitive.
House Member vs. Member
Ben Quayle
vs
David Schweikert
Howard Berman
vs
Brad Sherman
Janice Hahn
vs
Laura Richardson
Leonard Boswell
vs
Tom Latham
Adam Kinzinger
vs
Don Manzullo
Charles Boustany
vs
Jeff Landry
Hansen Clarke
vs
Gary Peters
Russ Carnahan
vs
Lacy Clay
Bill Pascrell
vs
Steve Rothman
Marcy Kaptur
vs
Dennis Kucinich
Jim Renacci
vs
Betty Sutton
Jason Altmire
vs
Mark Critz
John Mica
vs
Sandy Adams
Before the once-every-ten-years Congressional redistricting
process began, several commentators had suggested redistricting
would produce large Republican gains that would ensure one-party
domination for the next decade. However, with the process largely
completed, most observers now believe that redistricting will be a
"wash" that will not produce significant net gains for
either
House Retirement
Mike Ross
(D)
Dale Kildee
(D)
Jeff Flake
(R)
Todd Akin
(R)
Gabby Giffords
(D)
Denny Rehberg
(R)
Wally Herger
(R)
Brad Miller
(D)
Lynn Woolsey
(D)
Rick Berg
(R)
Jerry Lewis
(R)
Martin Heinrich
(D)
Dennis Cardoza
(D)
Shelley Berkley
(D)
Elton Gallegly
(R)
Maurice Hinchey
(D)
Bob Filner
(D)
Steve Austria
(R)
Chris Murphy
(D)
Dan Boren
(D)
Connie Mack
(R)
David Wu
(D)
Mazie Hirono
(D)
Todd Platts
(R)
Jerry Costello
(D)
Ron Paul
(R)
Joe Donnelly
(D)
Charlie Gonzalez
(D)
Dan Burton
(R)
Jay Inslee
(D)
Mike Pence
(R)
Tammy Baldwin
(D)
Geoff Davis
(R)
Heath Shuler
(D)
John Olver
(D)
Sue Myrick
(R)
Barney Frank
(D)
Three of the 21 House Democratic retirements had their seats
eliminated by redistricting, leaving Democrats to defend 18 open
seats, while the GOP will try to hold onto 14 open seats. The
Cook Political Report's Partisan Voter Index indicated
that the GOP has a credible advantage in 4 of the Democrats' 18
open seats and loses the upper hand in one.
Party Breakdown of Seats Currently Seen as Competitive (Lean or
Tossup)
Senate
Democrats
Republicans
10
2
House
Democrats
Republicans
19
31
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